New York Giants Odds, Predictions, and Betting Preview 2022: G-Men Bank on Soft Schedule

The New York Giants are injecting their franchise with a dose of spicy Buffalo sauce after poaching new GM Joe Schoen and head coach Brian Daboll from the Bills. 

The expectations are tempered for this transition, especially with much-maligned quarterback Daniel Jones under center. The Giants’ NFL odds don’t paint a pretty picture in terms of futures, but there could be betting value in Big Blue as it pertains to their win total and early-season spreads.

Now that we have your attention, here’s our New York Giants 2022 betting preview.

New York Giants futures odds

Futures bet
Odds
To win Super Bowl+10,000
To win conference+5,000
To win division+900
Season Win Total O/U7 (Over -110)
To Make PlayoffsYes +250 / No -300

Best futures bet: Over 7 wins (-110)

A new GM and a revamped coaching staff is usually cause for concern when betting NFL futures, but when you consider that shakeup comes on the heels of the Joe Judge debacle, there’s only one way to go: Up.

Things could absolutely go south in East Rutherford and a bet on the Over 7 wins is more of a play against the Giants’ 2022 opposition than a true bet on New York’s success. New York has one of the softest schedules in the NFL — in terms of standard SOS, QB SOS, and travel — and plays only one true road game before Week 7.

The Giants are getting some buzz among the sharp sect this summer and there are books with the win total up to 7.5 (Over +140) if you’re all in on Big Blue in 2022. 

New York Giants betting overview

What will win bets: Soft schedule

There’s an opportunity to make money with this Giants squad early on. The lookahead lines have N.Y. pegged at +4 or higher in four of their first six contests, with the other two matchups set at PK (vs. Carolina) and as low as -2.5 (vs. Chicago). With four of the first six contests at home, a soft entry in 2022 gives grace for the offense to grow in Daboll’s new playbook. 

Jones is in a contract year and has solid weapons around him in WRs Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney, who were plagued by injuries in 2021. Mix in Saquon Barkley as a run-catch option and this offense could find its footing quick enough to cover those early spreads — or at least be healthy in those openers.

What will lose bets: Quarterback play

Big Apple football fans are surprised to see Jones still tabbed as No. 1 on the depth chart heading into 2022, but considering the team’s financial shackles, what else could it do? Jones shat the bed in just about every passing stat – basic and advanced – and continued to kill bettors with his careless play, throwing seven INTs and fumbling twice in just 11 games last season.

The reports coming out of OTAs were a little cloudy, considering Jones wasn’t throwing to his top receivers in 11-on-11 drills. That said, he had ugly throws that should have been picked off, would have been sacked a few times if not for that red jersey, and watched his WRs drop balls while leaning on RB Saquon Barkley on short tosses. Not what New Yorkers want to hear now that sports betting is legal in the Empire State…  

More Covers NFL betting analysis

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New York Giants game-by-game odds

The 2022 schedule is set up for success in Daboll’s first year, ranking out 29th in SOS with nine home games and only seven true road trips (plus a London game with Green Bay). And outside of that international outing and a Week 8 trip to Seattle, the G-Men only venture as far as Minnesota in Week 16. 

While Jones ranks out as one of the worst starting quarterbacks for 2022, New York won’t find itself out-gunned by many most weeks as the Giants sit 30th in my QB SOS and have comparable quarterback matchups in at least eight of their 17 contests. 

The lookahead lines have the Giants as point spread favorites in only three games, but also have two pick’em lines on the board and seven other contests with New York getting +4 or lower.

Week
Opponent
Spread
Total
1@ Tennessee+6.544
2vs. CarolinaPK42.5
3vs. Dallas+4.547.5
4vs. Chicago-343.5
5vs. Green Bay+7.546
6vs. Baltimore+445.5
7@ Jacksonville+245.5
8@ Seattle+3.542.5
9BYE
10vs. Houston-444
11vs. Detroit-2.544
12@ Dallas+747.5
13vs. WashingtonPK43
14vs. Philadelphia+2.545
15@ Washington+443
16@ Minnesota+6.547
17vs. Indianapolis+3.543.5
18@ Philadelphia+442

New York Giants pro betting insights

Hitman, professional bettor (@Hitman428)

The Giants are a potential surprise team in many people’s eyes, and I do like their coaching upgrades on both sides of the ball. However, this is still a Bottom 6-8 roster, and I am not sold that the Giants did enough to upgrade the offensive roster around Daniel Jones.

Catch the Hitman NFL Release Show on Covers every Thursday and Friday throughout the NFL season!

Adam Chernoff, The Simple Handicap podcast (@adamchernoff)

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